Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: PCE data will become a barometer for Federal Reserve policy, beware of the downward risk for gold

Today, Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang pointed out in an online live broadcast themed "Logic of Gold Trend Analysis" that this week's market focus will be on the U.S. May PCE Price Index and the final value of Q1 GDP.

Previously, CPI and PPI data reached new highs, non-farm employment showed robust performance, and signals of inflation rebound combined with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have led the market to gradually digest rate hike expectations. He emphasized that Waller has clearly stated that controlling inflation is the top priority, and the interest rate dot plot shows that rate hikes in 2026 are becoming an internal consensus, and the market needs to prepare for a higher and longer-lasting interest rate environment.

Regarding the gold trend, Lewis Huang stated that due to the impact of geopolitical conflicts driving up energy prices, the overall year-on-year increase in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index may rise to 3.4% or even higher. If the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rises unexpectedly, the U.S. Dollar Index will gain strong momentum, while non-interest-bearing assets like gold will face weakening risks. He suggests that CFD traders closely monitor inflation expectation differentials and flexibly capture opportunities for U.S. dollar bullishness or guard against gold downturns.