When Ethereum ETF Starts Paying Out, Is This the Structural Turning Point?

By: blockbeats|2026/01/21 23:00:01
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Original Title: "New High in Staking, Exit Clearing, Is ETH Welcoming a Structural Inflection Point?"
Original Source: imToken

Holding Ethereum ETF, will you also be able to earn interest regularly like holding bonds?

At the beginning of the month, Grayscale announced that its Grayscale Ethereum Trust Staking ETF (ETHE) had distributed to existing shareholders the income obtained through staking from October 6, 2025, to December 31, 2025, marking the first U.S. spot crypto asset trading product to distribute staking rewards to holders.

While this move may seem routine on-chain operation to Web3-native players, in the broader context of crypto finance history, it signifies that Ethereum's native yield has been packaged into the traditional finance standard shell for the first time, undoubtedly a milestone.

More importantly, this is not an isolated event. On-chain data shows a continuous rise in Ethereum staking participation rate, gradual digestion of validators in the exit queue, and re-accumulation in the queue, indicating a series of simultaneous changes.

These seemingly scattered signals are all pointing towards a deeper question: Is Ethereum gradually evolving from an asset allocated based on price volatility to a "yield asset" accepted by long-term capital with stable income characteristics?

When Ethereum ETF Starts Paying Out, Is This the Structural Turning Point?

I. ETF Income Distribution: Traditional Investors' First "Staking Experience"

Objectively speaking, Ethereum staking has been more like a slightly geeky, "on-chain world"-limited technical experiment for a long time.

Because it not only requires users to have knowledge of encryption basics such as wallets, private keys, but also to understand validator mechanisms, consensus rules, lockup periods, and penalty logic. Although protocols like Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSD) represented by Lido Finance have significantly reduced the participation threshold, staking rewards themselves still mainly exist in the context of crypto-native (e.g., stETH).

Ultimately, for most Web2 investors, this system is neither intuitive nor easily accessible, creating an insurmountable gap.

Now, this gap is being bridged by ETFs. According to Grayscale's distribution plan this time, ETHE holders will receive $0.083178 per share held, reflecting the income obtained through staking during the corresponding period and already sold. The distribution will take place on January 6, 2026 (ex-dividend date), with distribution to investors holding ETHE shares as of January 5, 2026 (record date).

In short, it does not come from corporate operations, but from network security and consensus participation itself. In the past, this kind of revenue almost only existed within the crypto industry, but is now starting to be packaged into familiar financial wrappers like ETFs. Through a US stock account, traditional 401(k), or mutual fund investors can obtain native rewards generated by the Ethereum network's consensus (in US dollar form) without needing to deal with private keys.

It is important to emphasize that this does not mean Ethereum staking has been fully compliant, nor does it mean that regulators have a unified stance on ETF staking services. However, in economic reality, a key change has occurred: Non-native crypto users, for the first time without needing to understand nodes, private keys, and on-chain operations, have indirectly received native rewards generated by the Ethereum network's consensus.

From this perspective, ETF reward distribution is not an isolated event but rather the first step of Ethereum Staking entering a more mainstream capital view.

Grayscale is not the only example. An Ethereum ETF under 21Shares has also announced that it will distribute rewards obtained through staking ETH to existing shareholders. The distribution amount this time is $0.010378 per share, and the relevant ex-dividend and payment processes have been synchronously disclosed.

This undoubtedly sets a good precedent, especially for influential institutions like Grayscale and 21Shares that have a presence in both TradFi and Web3 fields. Their demonstration effect is far more than just a one-time dividend, undoubtedly driving the effective implementation and popularization of institutional Ethereum staking and reward distribution at a factual level. This also signifies that an Ethereum ETF is no longer just a shadow asset following price fluctuations but a financial product truly capable of generating cash flow.

In the longer term, as this model is validated, it is not ruled out that traditional asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity will follow suit and inject billions of dollars in long-term allocations into Ethereum.

II. Record-High Staking Rate and the Disappearing "Exit Queue"

If ETF rewards are more of a narrative breakthrough, then the total staking rate and changes in the staking queue more directly reflect fund behavior.

Firstly, the Ethereum staking rate has hit a historic high. Data from The Block shows that currently, over 36 million ETH is staked on the Ethereum Beacon Chain, accounting for nearly 30% of the network's circulating supply, with a staking market value exceeding $118 billion, setting a new all-time high, while the previous highest recorded percentage of circulating supply was 29.54% back in July 2025.

Source: The Block

From a supply and demand perspective, a significant amount of ETH has been staked, meaning that it has temporarily exited the free float market. This also indicates that a considerable portion of circulating ETH is transitioning from a high-frequency trading asset to a long-term staking asset playing a functional role.

In other words, ETH is no longer just a gas, transaction medium, or speculative tool, but is taking on a "means of production" role — participating in network security through staking and continuously generating rewards.

At the same time, the validator queue has seen an interesting shift. As of the time of writing, the Ethereum PoS staking exit queue is nearly empty, while the entry queue continues to grow (exceeding 2.73 million ETH). In short, a large amount of ETH is currently opting to be locked up long term in this system.

Unlike transactional behavior, staking itself is a low-liquidity, long-duration, stable yield-focused allocation method. The willingness of funds to re-enter the staking queue at least implies one thing: at this stage, more and more participants are willing to accept the opportunity cost of this long-term lockup.

When considering institutional ETF yield distribution, record-high staking rates, and queue structure changes together, a relatively clear trend emerges: Ethereum staking is evolving from an early chain participant dividend into a TradFi structural yield layer gradually accepted by the traditional financial system and reassessed by long-term capital.

Looking at any single element is insufficient to determine a trend, but when combined, they are outlining the gradual maturation of the Ethereum Staking economy.

III. The Future of Staking Market Accelerated Maturation

However, this does not mean that staking has turned ETH into a "risk-free asset." Instead, as the participant structure changes, the types of risks faced by staking are shifting. Technical risks are being gradually absorbed, while structural risks, liquidity risks, and the cost of understanding the mechanism are becoming more critical.

It is well known that during the previous regulatory cycle, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) frequently wielded its enforcement hammer, taking actions against multiple liquidity staking-related projects, including bringing unregistered securities charges against MetaMask/Consensys, Lido/stETH, Rocket Pool/rETH. This, at one point, brought uncertainty to the long-term development of Ethereum ETF.

From a real-world perspective, whether and how ETFs participate in staking is fundamentally more of a product process and compliance structure design issue than a denial of the Ethereum network itself. As more institutions explore the boundaries in practice, the market is also voting with real funds.

For example, BitMine has staked over 1 million ETH to Ethereum's PoS, reaching 1.032 million ETH, valued at around $32.15 billion, accounting for a quarter of its total ETH holdings (4.143 million ETH).

In summary, Ethereum staking has evolved to the point where it is no longer a niche game in the geek community.

As ETFs begin to steadily distribute returns, as long-term funds are willing to wait in line for 45 days to enter the consensus layer, as 30% of ETH transforms into a security barrier, we are witnessing Ethereum formally building a native revenue system accepted by the global capital market.

Understanding this change itself, perhaps as important as participation or non-participation.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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